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the Death List  

High Risk Stocks

The Death List includes two stock portfolios that we think are risky business. Of course, we don’t know for sure that they’re heading down; so don’t sell them short based on our opinion. However, you might want to do a little extra due diligence if you own them. 

Last update: data as of  10/6/17

(updated twice monthly)

Death List #1: Death by Debt

These firms have built up debt levels that could be a drag on earnings and cash flow for years to come. Among other factors, we've employed these two financial strength tests to pinpoint our list of potential underperformers. 

Leverage Ratio: total assets divided by shareholders’ equity. A firm with no debt would have a leverage ratio of one, and the higher the debt, the higher the ratio.

Interest Coverage: amount of annual interest covered by a cash flow measure (EBITDA). A ratio of 1.0 means that annual interest and EBITDA are equal. Ratios of 4.0 or higher reflect solid balance sheets. Negative ratios reflect negative cash flow.

Optimum Hold Period: 4 Weeks

    Recent
Price
Interest
Coverage
Leverage
Ratio

AHT

Ashford Hospitality Trust 

6.31

1.0

6.4

AI

Arlington Asset Investment 

12.84

0.9

12.3

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices 

12.25

0.0

8.1

AOI

Alliance One International 

10.00

-0.1

11.3

ARAY

Accuray 

4.15

0.4

8.7

ARRY

Array BioPharma 

10.98

-8.4

23.8

BGC

General Cable

17.75

-0.6

18.9

BOX

Box 

17.89

-99.9

11.3

CBAY

Cymabay Therapeutics 

5.95

-27.0

8.8

CSOD

Cornerstone OnDemand 

34.28

-5.6

20.2

CYS

CYS Investments 

8.77

1.4

7.7

DBD

Diebold Nixdorf 

20.25

-0.1

9.3

EMES

Emerge Energy Services 

6.57

-0.3

7.4

FLDM

Fluidigm 

5.33

-11.3

11.6

GUID

Guidance Software 

7.09

-99.9

54.2

HCHC

HC2 Holdings 

4.41

-0.6

38.0

INAP

Internap 

4.21

0.4

53.4

IRWD

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals 

15.48

-3.8

0.9

JMP

JMP Group 

5.31

0.6

9.6

KERX

Keryx Biopharmaceuticals 

7.56

-0.4

7.2

KND

Kindred Healthcare 

7.50

1.2

15.2

LAYN

Layne Christensen Co

11.00

0.3

6.6

LLEX

Lilis Energy 

3.95

-2.1

17.9

NKTR

Nektar Therapeutics

22.27

-5.1

99.9

PFPT

Proofpoint 

91.94

-3.0

24.9

PODD

Insulet 

58.68

-0.7

7.1

PRMW

Primo Water 

11.79

1.1

6.3

QHC

Quorum Health 

4.15

0.4

13.5

SBBP

Strongbridge Biopharma 

6.25

-19.5

10.6

SNAK

Inventure Foods 

3.36

0.6

15.1

STON

StoneMor Partners 

6.30

-0.7

11.1

W

Wayfair 

77.23

-24.2

62.9

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices

13.23

0.0

8.1

AOI

Alliance One International

11.25

0.0

11.3

ARRY

Array Biopharma

12.32

-8.1

23.8

ADSK

Autodesk

116.96

-4.6

13.8

BIOS

BioScrip

2.90

0.2

45.8

APRN

Blue Apron Holdings

5.25

-10.2

99.9

BOX

Box Inc

19.23

-99.9

11.3

CDNA

CareDx

5.62

-5.8

6.6

CVNA

Carvana

15.26

-14.4

15.5

CSOD

Cornerstone OnDemand

40.85

-6.9

20.2

CBAY

CymaBay Therapeutics

8.20

-31.9

8.8

DBD

Diebold Nixdorf

22.70

-0.7

9.3

EMES

Emerge Energy Services

8.29

-0.3

7.4

OAKS

Five Oaks Investment

4.58

0.4

16.8

FLDM

Fluidigm

4.71

-11.3

11.6

FRTA

Forterra

5.07

0.8

19.4

BGC

General Cable

21.00

-0.9

18.9

HALO

Halozyme Therapeutics

17.16

-5.0

5.9

PODD

Insulet Corporation

58.83

-0.7

7.1

IRWD

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals

17.41

-12.7

99.9

JMBA

Jamba

8.95

-99.9

78.9

LAYN

Layne Christensen

12.86

0.6

7.0

LLEX

Lilis Energy

4.87

-1.5

17.9

MATR

Mattersight

2.85

-4.0

9.0

NKTR

Nektar Therapeutics

24.81

-5.1

99.9

NETE

Net Element

6.08

-4.2

10.8

PLYM

Plymouth Industrial Reit

18.06

-0.2

14.4

PRXIQ

Premier Exhibitions

7.05

-6.9

13.5

QHC

Quorum Health

5.21

0.4

13.5

RLJE

RLJ Entertainment

3.59

0.7

12.0

SPXC

SPX Corp

29.13

1.1

9.2

SBBP

Strongbridge Biopharma

6.15

-0.9

10.6

VISI

Volt Information Sciences

3.05

-0.5

6.9

W

Wayfair

68.99

-24.2

62.9

Dividend Death List

Riskiest High Dividend Stocks

DividendDetective.com

 

Death List #2: Too Hot Not to Cool Down

Have these overpriced stocks have gone too far, too fast? This list comes from a screen inspired by a series of occasional articles spotlighting overpriced stocks published by Barron’s in the mid-90s. The screen searches out stocks that are overvalued by a variety of measures, and have already recorded strong results over the past 52 weeks.

Optimum Hold Period: 12 Months

    Price TFY
P/E
P/Sales P/Bk

ALGN

Align Technology

187.04

55

10.5

13.9

APPF

AppFolio 

50.30

164

11.9

22.7

ANET

Arista Networks 

192.93

41

8.6

10.3

HTHT

China Lodging Group 

127.96

46

7.4

9.8

CGNX

Cognex  

116.21

46

14.5

9.6

CORT

Corcept Therapeutics 

20.37

48

16.2

34.9

TREE

Lendingtree 

259.15

68

5.1

10.5

EDU

New Oriental Education 

91.63

38

7.4

8.6

NVDA

NVIDIA 

181.30

50

12.2

18.2

PEGA

Pegasystems  

59.65

61

5.8

12.4

TTWO

Take Two Interactive Software 

107.23

48

6.8

10.3

TAL

TAL Education Group  

33.95

100

13.1

24.6

TTD

Trade Desk 

64.28

45

9.0

13.2

OLED

Universal Display  

128.10

60

14.7

9.9

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