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the Death List  

High Risk Stocks

The Death List includes two stock portfolios that we think are risky business. Of course, we don’t know for sure that they’re heading down; so don’t sell them short based on our opinion. However, you might want to do a little extra due diligence if you own them. 

Last update: data as of  11/10/17

(updated twice monthly)

Death List #1: Death by Debt

These firms have built up debt levels that could be a drag on earnings and cash flow for years to come. Among other factors, we've employed these two financial strength tests to pinpoint our list of potential underperformers. 

Leverage Ratio: total assets divided by shareholders’ equity. A firm with no debt would have a leverage ratio of one, and the higher the debt, the higher the ratio.

Interest Coverage: amount of annual interest covered by a cash flow measure (EBITDA). A ratio of 1.0 means that annual interest and EBITDA are equal. Ratios of 4.0 or higher reflect solid balance sheets. Negative ratios reflect negative cash flow.

Optimum Hold Period: 4 Weeks

    Recent
Price
Interest
Coverage
Leverage
Ratio

AMBC

Ambac Financial  

13.81

-3.7

15.4

AIG

American International 

62.06

-5.2

6.9

AFSI

AmTrust Financial Services

10.30

0.2

7.4

ADSK

Autodesk

123.11

-4.6

13.8

BOX

Box

22.03

-99.9

11.3

CVNA

Carvana  

14.19

-45.7

17.6

DBD

Diebold Nixdorf

18.15

0.8

9.4

FLDM

Fluidigm 

5.24

-10.7

7.5

BGC

General Cable 

20.10

0.1

19.0

IFMK

iFresh

12.31

-3.5

6.9

IVTY

Invuity

8.45

-16.7

9.6

JMBA

Jamba

7.96

-99.9

78.9

KDMN

Kadmon Holdings

3.56

-10.6

16.7

LAYN

Layne Christensen  

12.99

0.6

7.0

LLEX

Lilis Energy

4.93

-1.5

17.9

NTRA

Natera

9.19

-17.0

6.8

NEOS

Neos Therapeutics

10.43

-5.3

7.7

NETE

Net Element

4.36

-4.2

10.8

OMER

Omeros 

18.17

-1.8

13.6

PRXIQ

Premier Exhibitions

5.80

-6.9

13.5

QBIO

Q BioMed

3.55

-18.5

99.9

SBBP

Strongbridge Biopharma

6.00

-0.9

10.6

SPWR

SunPower 

8.70

-3.6

6.1

TSLA

Tesla

302.99

-4.5

6.0

VISI

Volt Information Sciences

4.05

-0.5

6.9

W

Wayfair

61.57

-36.8

99.9

 

Dividend Death List

Riskiest High Dividend Stocks

DividendDetective.com

 

Death List #2: Too Hot Not to Cool Down

Have these overpriced stocks have gone too far, too fast? This list comes from a screen inspired by a series of occasional articles spotlighting overpriced stocks published by Barron’s in the mid-90s. The screen searches out stocks that are overvalued by a variety of measures, and have already recorded strong results over the past 52 weeks.

Optimum Hold Period: 12 Months

    Price TFY
P/E
P/Sales P/Bk

ALGN

Align Technology

249.46

68

12.9

16.9

APPF

AppFolio  

41.90

115

9.4

17.6

HTHT

China Lodging Group 

125.97

44

7.3

9.7

CGNX

Cognex  

136.36

49

11.3

10.4

CORT

Corcept Therapeutics 

17.72

41

11.8

23.4

NVDA

NVIDIA  

216.14

52

12.3

20.4

PAYC

Paycom Software 

78.90

63

11.5

29.2

TTWO

Take Two Interactive Software  

115.68

43

7.4

8.9

TAL

TAL Education Group  

29.40

90

11.4

21.3

TTD

Trade Desk 

51.00

34

7.1

10.4

OLED

Universal Display  

175.90

75

33.4

13.3

WB

Weibo 

105.16

62

17.9

22.1

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